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Should we keep a close eye on the pound, which is facing resistance at higher levels?

Market Report

Should we keep a close eye on the pound, which is facing resistance at higher levels?

Today's Highlights
  1. U.S. FOMC Policy Rate and Statement Release
  2. Press Conference by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Powell

In the previous day’s U.S. currency trading, the U.S. dollar rose after the U.S. October Manufacturing PMI and the ISM Manufacturing Index both exceeded market expectations.The EUR/USD pair fell by about 100 pips from 0.9952 to 0.9851, marking its fourth consecutive day of decline. Technically, the EUR/USD is trading just below the daily 20-day moving average (MA). If it breaks below the daily 20-day MA, the 4-hour 200-day simple moving average (SMA) will act as support, so we will be watching to see if the pair rebounds at the 4-hour 200-SMA level of 0.9827.

Like the euro, the pound came under pressure against the U.S. dollar. GBP/USD fell by approximately 130 pips from 1.1564 to 1.1439. The decline halted as the pair found support at the 200-period SMA on the hourly chart.Although the UK’s October Manufacturing PMI, released yesterday, exceeded the market forecast of 45.8, it was unable to withstand the rise of the US dollar. Since GBP/USD is forming a descending flag on the hourly chart, traders should watch for a gradual decline to around 1.135 on a weekly basis.

Today, during European trading hours, Germany’s trade balance will be released at 16:00, France’s budget balance at 16:45, France’s manufacturing PMI at 17:50, Germany’s unemployment rate at 17:55, and the Eurozone’smanufacturing PMI, the U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Index at 8:00 PM, and the U.S. ADP Employment Report at 9:15 PM. During U.S. trading hours, the U.S. weekly crude oil inventory report is scheduled for 11:30 PM, followed by the FOMC policy rate decision and statement at 3:00 AM, remarks by German Bundesbank President Nagel, and a press conference by Fed Chair Powell at 3:30 AM.I plan to closely monitor the movement of the pound, which is facing resistance on the upside, while keeping a close eye on currency strength and weakness.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has focused primarily on foreign exchange trading and also has experience as an investment advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

Past Market Reports

  1. 22.04.2026New

    Will interest grow in the upside potential of the Swiss franc, which has risen against the yen?

  2. 21.04.2026New

    With the euro-Australian dollar pair hitting new lows this month, attention is turning to how much further it might fall

  3. 20.04.2026New

    Will the market wait and see how much further the U.S. dollar can rise against the yen?

  4. 17.04.2026New

    Will the weakening Swiss franc recover? Attention is turning to price movements during European trading hours.

  5. 16.04.2026New

    Market participants are likely keeping a close eye on the upside potential of the euro, which has risen against the U.S. dollar

  6. 15.04.2026

    Should we keep an eye on remarks by key figures in the U.S. and try to gauge the direction of currency strength?

  7. 14.04.2026

    Market participants are likely watching for signs of a rebound in the Canadian dollar, which fell against the U.S. dollar following the release of employment figures

  8. 13.04.2026

    Will the weakening Swiss franc continue to strengthen against the yen, or should we wait and see?

  9. 10.04.2026

    Will the U.S. dollar, which has fallen against the yen, continue its downward slide, or should we wait and see how the market moves?

  10. 09.04.2026

    Should we keep an eye on the upside for European currencies that have risen against the U.S. dollar?

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