Caution Over the Euro's Direction Ahead of Tomorrow's ECB Meeting?
26.10.2022
- Canada: BOC Policy Rate and Statement Release
- U.S. Weekly Crude Oil Inventories
U.S. currencies weakened the previous day as expectations for a significant rate hike at the next FOMC meeting receded due to inflationary pressures. The EUR/USD pair rose by approximately 120 pips, from 0.9848 to 0.9975.The pair broke above the daily downtrend line—which had been in place since February 7 of this year—with a candlestick body. If the EUR/USD continues to rise from here, attention will focus on whether it can break above the recent daily high of 0.9999.
European currencies rose, with the euro gaining against the yen after Germany’s October Ifo Business Climate Index, released yesterday, came in at 84.3—exceeding the market forecast of 83.6. The euro’s rise against the yen has continued since immediately after the currency intervention the day before yesterday, and it is currently trading around 147.662.With a 0.75% rate hike expected at tomorrow’s ECB meeting, we will be closely watching to see if the euro continues to rise.
Today’s economic indicators include the French Consumer Confidence Index at 15:45, the U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Index at 20:00, U.S. Wholesale Inventories (Preliminary) at 21:30,at 11:00 PM, the Canadian BOC policy rate and statement, U.S. new home sales; at 11:30 PM, U.S. weekly crude oil inventories; at 12:00 AM, a press conference by BOC Governor McUlem; and at 2:00 AM, a U.S. 5-year Treasury auction.With the ECB meeting tomorrow, we’ll need to watch the euro’s direction closely to see if it will rise.
