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Market Participants May Be Watching the Direction of the Pound-Yen Pair, Which Is Falling Amid a Strong Yen Trend

Market Report

Market Participants May Be Watching the Direction of the Pound-Yen Pair, Which Is Falling Amid a Strong Yen Trend

Today's Highlights
  1. Mester (U.S.): Remarks by the President of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank
  2. U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims

In the U.S. currency market the previous day, the euro/dollar pair fell as the Dollar Index recovered to 111, dropping approximately 150 pips from 0.9994 to 0.9834.The EUR/USD pair was pushed back at the upper boundary of its daily downtrend line, falling to the 75-period moving average (MA) on the 4-hour chart. However, on the daily chart, the pair has rebounded with the 20-period MA acting as support. We will be closely monitoring whether the decline has bottomed out and the rebound will continue.

Among European currencies, the GBP/JPY pair, which had been rising gradually along the 20-period moving average on the hourly chart, reversed course and fell. GBP/JPY dropped by about 3 yen, from 165.713 to 162.617. The decline halted as the pair found support at the downtrend line drawn from June 9 of this year.During today’s Asian session, price movements have lacked a clear direction, so we will be watching closely to see if economic indicators released during the European session will provide a clearer direction for the market.

Today, German manufacturing orders will be released at 15:00, the UK construction PMI at 17:30, Eurozone retail sales at 18:00, and at 20:30, the EurozoneECB Governing Council Meeting Minutes, at 21:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims, at 21:50 remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Mester, at 23:00 Canada’s Ivey Purchasing Managers’ Index, at 23:30 U.S. Weekly Natural Gas Inventories,at 24:35: Remarks by MacLeam, Governor of the Bank of Canada; at 26:00: Remarks by Cook, Federal Reserve Governor; at 6:00 the following day: Remarks by Waller, Federal Reserve Governor; and at 7:30 the following day: Remarks by Mester, President of the Cleveland Fed.I’d like to wait and see whether this signals a return to a yen-weakening trend and what direction GBP/JPY will take.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management with a particular focus on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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