Should We Keep a Close Eye on the Direction of the Pound-Dollar Exchange Rate, Which Keeps Hitting New Lows This Year?
02.09.2022
- U.S. Employment Report
- Eurozone Producer Price Index
U.S. currencies rose yesterday after the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index for August, released yesterday, came in at 52.8—matching the previous reading and defying market expectations. The GBP/USD pair fell by about 120 pips from 1.1620 to 1.1498.GBP/USD has continued to hit new lows this year and is now just a hair’s breadth away from the March 2020 low of 1.1433; therefore, traders should also watch for price movements ahead of news regarding the UK’s new party leader, which is expected early next week.
Among European currencies, the pound held its ground against the Oceania currencies, which have been showing little price movement, and the GBP/AUD pair traded in a range between 1.6910 and 1.7032.Amid a third consecutive day of falling crude oil prices and weakness in Oceania currencies, the slightly weaker pound managed to gain a slight edge. While the GBP/AUD pair is forming a range-bound market on the 4-hour chart, it has been raising its lows, so we will be watching for upward momentum heading into European trading hours.
Today, during Asian trading hours, Germany’s trade balance will be released at 15:00, followed by Switzerland’s second-quarter non-agricultural employment figures at 15:30 and France’s fiscal balance at 15:45. During European trading hours, Norway’s unemployment rate will be released at 17:00, followed by the Eurozone’sProducer Price Index at 17:00, and Brazil’s Industrial Production at 21:00 during European trading hours; and Canada’s Q2 Labor Productivity Index and U.S. Employment Report at 21:30, followed by the U.S. Manufacturing Orders Index at 23:00 during U.S. trading hours. We will be closely monitoring the direction of the GBP/USD pair, which continues to hit new lows this year.
