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Should we pay close attention to ECB President Lagarde’s remarks on interest rate hikes?

Market Report

Should we pay close attention to ECB President Lagarde’s remarks on interest rate hikes?

Today's Highlights
  1. Remarks by ECB President Lagarde
  2. U.S. – Braad: Remarks by the President of the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank

Yesterday, the U.S. dollar strengthened against the euro, with the EUR/USD pair falling 100 pips from 1.078 to 1.067. However, from a technical perspective, the pair appears to be finding support at the 200-period EMA on the 4-hour chart. We will be watching to see if the decline continues or if the pair first breaks below the recent low of 1.064.

European currencies fell against the U.S. dollar despite the fact that the Eurozone’s May consumer price index, released yesterday, hit a record high of 8.1%, exceeding the market forecast of 7.7%.GBP/USD fell 90 pips from 1.265 to 1.255 and is testing lower levels during today’s Asian session. We will be watching closely to see if GBP/USD finds support near the 20-day moving average (MA) at 1.253.

Today’s schedule includes the UK Nationwide House Price Index and German Retail Sales at 16:00 CET, the Swiss Manufacturing PMI at 16:30, and the UK Manufacturing PMI at 17:30, followed by the ECB’s Lagarde’s remarks, the US MBA Mortgage Applications Index, the Bank of Canada’s policy rate decision and statement at 20:00 CET, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, and the US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 24:30.remarks by ECB President Lagarde, the U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Index, the Canadian BOC policy rate and statement at 11:00 PM, the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI, remarks by U.S. NY Fed President Williams at 12:30 AM, remarks by U.S. St. Louis Fed President Bullard at 2:00 AM, and the U.S. Federal Reserve Beige Book at 4:00 AM.We should pay close attention to the content of ECB President Lagarde’s remarks to see how European currencies, which have been weakening against the US dollar, will react to today’s European and US speeches.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

I have over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, I have focused primarily on foreign exchange trading and have also worked as an investment advisor. Drawing on my extensive experience, I specialize in technical and fundamental analysis.

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