Should We Watch for Changes in Volatility During U.S. Trading Hours?
30.05.2022
- U.S. markets closed for Memorial Day
- Canada: First-Quarter Current Account Balance
Last weekend, the U.S. dollar traded in a tight range against the yen and the euro, while the GBP/USD pair moved sideways between 1.258 and 1.266.However, looking at the hourly chart, the pair has been rebounding gradually since hitting a low on May 13. We will need to monitor the RSI level carefully to determine whether the rally will continue up to around 1.273, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level on the daily chart.
Among European currencies, the Swiss franc’s rebound has been particularly notable, with the CHF/JPY pair posting a strong bullish candle for the second consecutive week.During today’s Asian trading session, the pair has been trading around 132.77. Although the upward trend continues, the gains have been modest, keeping the RSI on the 4-hour chart below 70. With CHF/JPY having already broken above the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart, we need to carefully assess whether it will continue to rise from here.
Today’s schedule includes Germany’s Import Price Index and Japan’s Machine Tool Orders at 15:00 European time; Switzerland’s KOF Leading Index and South Africa’s Fiscal Balance at 16:00; Canada’s First-Quarter Current Account Balance at 21:30 U.S. time;at 24:00, remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Waller; at 26:00, remarks by German Bundesbank President Nagel; and at 7:45 the following day, New Zealand housing construction permits. Since U.S. markets are closed today for Memorial Day, investors should be mindful of volatility during U.S. trading hours.
