Should We Keep an Eye on the Euro's Uptrend?
26.05.2022
- Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank Manufacturing Activity Index
- Remarks by Brainard, the Designated Next Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve
In the U.S. currency market the previous day, the euro, which had been strengthening, entered a correction phase, and the EUR/USD pair fell by about 100 pips from 1.074 to 1.064.On the 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD pair is finding support at the 20-period moving average (MA), and as it is nearing the completion of a retest of the 200-period simple moving average (SMA), I would like to wait and see whether it will break above the recent high of 1.074 with a real-body candle.
European currencies weakened as the ECB’s Financial Stability Report, released yesterday, stated that “global cost pressures could weaken the economic outlook for the eurozone.”The EUR/JPY pair fell by approximately 120 pips from 136.19 to 134.98. However, it has been trending higher during today’s Asian trading session. From a technical perspective, the EUR/JPY pair could move in either direction until it breaks decisively above the recent daily high of 138.31, so caution is advised.
Today, at 16:00 European time, Turkey’s Economic Confidence Index will be released, followed by the TCMB policy rate and statement at 20:00; and at 21:30 U.S. time, Canada’s Retail Sales, U.S. Initial Jobless Claims, U.S. Q1 GDP, and U.S. Personal Consumption will be released,U.S. Core PCE Deflator at 21:30, U.S. Pending Home Sales at 23:00,at 23:30, U.S. weekly natural gas inventories; at 24:00, the U.S. Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index; at 25:00, remarks by incoming Fed Vice Chair Brainard; and at 26:00, a U.S. 7-year Treasury auction.We will be keeping a close eye on the trend of the euro, which is on the rise.
