Should We Keep a Close Eye on the Future Trajectory of the Rising Euro/Yen Pair?
12.04.2022
- Remarks by Brainard, the Designated Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve
- Germany/Europe: ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey
In the previous day’s trading, the U.S. dollar was in a stalemate against the euro, with the EUR/USD pair trading within a range of 1.087 to 1.093.Similarly, the GBP/USD pair is trading in a range between 1.298 and 1.305, showing no clear direction. Notably, the daily RSI for GBP/USD stands at 33, so we should carefully monitor whether it will form a double bottom on the daily chart.
European currencies weakened again as reports emerged that approximately 10,000 civilians had been killed in Mariupol, in southeastern Ukraine, fueling concerns that the war—with no end in sight—is intensifying. Among the yen crosses, the euro/yen pair is facing particularly heavy resistance on the upside and is currently attempting to rise around the 136.49 level.
Today, at 3:00 p.m., the UK unemployment rate and the German Consumer Price Index will be released; at 4:00 p.m., Turkey’s industrial production figures; at 6:00 p.m., the German/ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey, at 7:00 PM the U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, at 9:30 PM the U.S. Consumer Price Index, at 1:10 AM a speech by incoming Fed Vice Chair Brainard, at 2:00 AM the U.S. 10-year Treasury auction,U.S. Budget Balance at 27:00, and remarks by U.S. Richmond Fed President Barkin at 7:45 the following day. While keeping an eye on economic data releases starting during European trading hours, we will closely monitor the direction of cross-yen pairs.
