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Attention May Turn to Renewed Inflation Fears and U.S. Dollar Movements

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Attention May Turn to Resurgent Inflation Fears and U.S. Dollar Movements

10.01.2022

Today's Highlights
  1. U.S. Wholesale Sales
  2. Turkey: Employment Statistics

Last weekend, the three major U.S. stock indices all continued to fall, resulting in a market environment characterized by falling stock prices, rising interest rates, and lower crude oil prices.In the U.S. employment report released last Friday, while the unemployment rate fell from 4.2% the previous month to 3.9%, strong wage growth was revealed, reigniting inflation concerns. Bond selling accelerated, and the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note temporarily rose to 1.79%.

As the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries rose, the U.S. dollar fell. The euro rose against the dollar from 1.129 to 1.136.However, the EUR/USD pair has been stagnating, unable to break out of the trading range it has been in since late November of last year, and continues to trade within the 1.122–1.137 range. We will be watching closely to see if comments from key figures or geopolitical news will cause the pair to break decisively in one direction or the other.

Today, Turkey’s employment statistics are scheduled for release at 16:00 European time, followed by the Eurozone’s employment statistics at 19:00, and U.S. wholesale sales figures during U.S. trading hours.(Today’s scheduled appearance by U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Bostic at a conference has been postponed.) Although the Japanese market is closed today for a holiday, we will carefully monitor the situation to see if any clear market movements emerge during European trading hours.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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