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Should We Pay Attention to the Inverse Correlation Between the U.S. Dollar and Oceania Currencies?

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Should We Pay Attention to the Inverse Correlation Between the U.S. Dollar and Oceania Currencies?

04.01.2022

Today's Highlights
  1. U.S. JOLTS Survey
  2. U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI

Yesterday, in the U.S. market, the three major stock indices all rose, resulting in a market environment characterized by higher stock prices, higher interest rates, and flat crude oil prices.Commodity markets fell, with gold dropping from $1,827 to $1,805. Meanwhile, the Nikkei 225, trading on its first day of the new year, rose strongly from the morning session, gaining about 1.38% from the previous day and trading in the 29,200-yen range.

In the foreign exchange market, while cross-yen pairs are generally falling, the U.S. dollar has remained firm, with USD/JPY rising to around 115.56. GBP/JPY fell to 154.98 but rebounded, finding support at the 75-period moving average on the hourly chart.Oceania currencies are showing even greater weakness against the yen than the pound, with the Australian dollar/yen pair falling from 83.85 to 82.83.

Today’s schedule includes German retail sales at 16:00, the Swiss Consumer Price Index at 16:30, the French Consumer Price Index (final reading) at 16:45, the German unemployment rate at 17:55, the UK Manufacturing PMI (final reading) at 18:30,UK mortgage approvals and UK mortgage-backed securities volume at 18:30, Canadian industrial product prices and Canadian raw materials price index at 22:30, and the US ISM Manufacturing PMI and US JOLTS survey at 24:00.We will monitor currency strength and weakness while paying close attention to economic data releases from European through U.S. trading hours.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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