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All Eyes on the Chicago Fed National Activity Index

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All Eyes on the Chicago Fed National Activity Index

25.10.2021

Today's Highlights
  1. Chicago Fed National Activity Index
  2. Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index

Last weekend, the three major U.S. stock indices posted mixed results, with stock prices remaining flat, interest rates falling, and crude oil prices rising. WTI crude oil reached $84.65, setting a new high for the month. It continues to trade at elevated levels.The VIX (fear index) rose by about 3% to around 15.4. Saudi Arabia’s energy minister maintained a cautious stance regarding demand growth due to the impact of the pandemic and made remarks suggesting reluctance toward a significant increase in crude oil production.

In the foreign exchange market, the yen buying that had continued since last weekend has paused during today’s Asian trading session, and the EUR/JPY pair has rebounded from 132.00 to 132.60. From a technical perspective, the EUR/JPY pair continues to form lower highs and lower lows on the 4-hour chart, so it would be wise to wait and see whether this marks a clear reversal.

Today’s economic indicators include Turkey’s Economic Sentiment Index and Capacity Utilization Rate at 16:00, and Germany’s Ifo Business Climate Index at 17:00. As U.S. trading hours begin, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index is scheduled for 21:30, followed by a statement from the UK’sremarks by MPC member Tenreyro, and at 23:30, the U.S. Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index. This week, policy rate announcements are scheduled from the Bank of Japan, the Bank of Canada (BOC), and the European Central Bank (ECB). We will be closely monitoring how various currencies perform against one another.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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