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Will Oceania Currencies Fall on the Back of Falling Crude Oil Prices?

Market Report

Will Oceania Currencies Fall on the Back of Falling Crude Oil Prices?

Today's Highlights
  1. Canada: Housing Price Index
  2. Germany: Producer Price Index

Last weekend, the three major U.S. stock indices all fell, resulting in a market environment characterized by falling stock prices, rising interest rates, and lower crude oil prices.The fear index (VIX) rose again, surpassing the key 20-point threshold to reach 20.8. The Russell 2000 recovered toward the close and is trading around 2,236.

In the foreign exchange market, the Australian dollar—a commodity-linked currency—is facing resistance to further gains amid falling crude oil prices, and its downward trend continues.The AUD/USD pair has fallen for three consecutive days, dropping from last Friday’s high of 0.731 to 0.723, and has continued to slide sharply during today’s Asian trading session. From a technical perspective, it will be important to closely monitor whether the pair rebounds at its recent low of 0.714.

Apart from the German Producer Price Index at 15:00, the Canadian Housing Price Index at 21:30, and the U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index at 23:30, no other major economic indicators or key speeches are scheduled for today.This week, Chinese markets will be closed through the 22nd for the Mid-Autumn Festival. Additionally, the U.S. FOMC meeting is scheduled for Wednesday, the 22nd; the U.K. interest rate announcement is set for Thursday, the 23rd; and U.S. new home sales data is due on the 24th. We will keep a close eye on price movements at the start of the week while also monitoring trends in crude oil prices.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management with a particular focus on foreign exchange markets, and he also has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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