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Concerns Over a Decline in the Swiss Franc?

Market Report

Concerns Over a Decline in the Swiss Franc?

Today's Highlights
  1. Remarks by Bahtman, President of the German Central Bank
  2. Switzerland—Producer Import Prices

Yesterday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 rebounded in U.S. markets, leading to a “risk-on” environment characterized by rising stock prices, falling interest rates, and higher crude oil prices. Today, the Nikkei 225 has also recovered to the 30,600-yen range, while BTC/USD has held its ground following last week’s decline and is trading in the $45,100 range.

In the foreign exchange market, the Swiss franc became the weakest currency starting during yesterday’s European trading session, and the CHF/JPY pair fell from 120.03 to as low as 119.09 at one point.From a technical perspective, the Swiss franc is already trading below its 20-day moving average on the daily chart, and with no significant support in sight until around 118.8, traders should be wary of further downside if a rebound fails to materialize.

Today’s schedule includes the UK unemployment rate and new jobless claims at 15:00, Swiss producer import prices at 15:30, Turkish housing prices at 16:00, and at 16:35, remarks by Germanremarks by Bundesbank President Bahtmann, at 19:00 the U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, at 21:30 the U.S. Consumer Price Index and Canadian Manufacturing Sales, and at 7:45 the following day New Zealand’s Q2 Current Account Balance.We want to closely monitor how European currencies—which have been showing notable weakness—will perform in the first half of the week.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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