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Should We Focus on the Upside Potential of European Currencies?

Market Report

Should We Focus on the Upside Potential of European Currencies?

Today's Highlights
  1. Germany's ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey
  2. Europe: Second-Quarter GDP (Final Figures)

Yesterday, U.S. markets were closed for the Labor Day holiday, but the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose to 1.34%, indicating a trend toward higher interest rates.Gold continues to trade sideways around the $1,800 level and is currently trading in the $1,821 range. BTC/USD rose slightly and is holding steady in the $52,000 range.

With U.S. markets closed, there has been little significant movement in the foreign exchange market, and the EUR/USD pair has been fluctuating up and down.The EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.187. From a technical perspective, the 20-period moving average (MA) on the 4-hour chart is providing support on the downside. However, if the pair rises again to around 1.189 and forms a double top, we should be wary of another decline, depending on how the U.S. dollar performs.

Today’s economic indicators include German industrial production and the UK Halifax house price index at 15:00; remarks by MPC member Saunders at 16:30; the German ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey, the Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey, and Eurozone Q2 GDP(final figures), South Africa’s Q2 GDP at 18:30, and the U.S. 3-year Treasury auction at 26:00. As we enter the autumn trading season in September, I intend to closely monitor the situation to see if there will be any significant shifts in the relative strength of various currencies.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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