U.S./Canada: Caution Over Employment Data Results?
06.08.2021
- U.S. Employment Report
- U.S. Consumer Credit Balances
Yesterday, stock prices rose in the U.S. market, leading to a “risk-on” market characterized by higher stock prices, higher interest rates, and higher crude oil prices. The U.S. Challenger job cuts figure for July, released yesterday, came in at 18,900—down about 7.5% from the previous month and the lowest level in 21 years.Amid concerns that layoffs could reduce labor market flexibility, stock prices remained firm. Bonds were sold off, and the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note recovered to the 1.2% range; it currently stands in the 1.23% range.
The U.S. dollar rose as the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries rebounded. The USD/JPY pair broke above the resistance zone at the 200-period SMA on the hourly chart and is currently trading around 109.8.Cross-yen pairs are generally trending higher, but the Australian dollar and the U.S. dollar are showing particularly strong upward momentum; the AUD/USD pair is trading within a range, similar to yesterday. The EUR/USD pair is trending lower and is currently trading around 1.182.
Today’s economic indicators include German industrial production at 15:00, France’s trade balance and current account balance at 15:45, and the UK’sHalifax House Price Index at 16:30, remarks by BOE Deputy Governor Broadbent at 20:15, Canadian and U.S. employment reports at 21:30, the Canadian Ivey PMI at 23:00, and U.S. wholesale inventories (final reading) and U.S. consumer credit balances.We will be closely monitoring today’s U.S. employment report to see how it affects the strength of the U.S. dollar.
