Caution Over Further Declines in the U.S. Dollar?
04.08.2021
- UK Services PMI (Final Reading)
- Retail Sales in Europe
In yesterday’s stock market, major U.S. indices rose, leading to a trading session characterized by higher stock prices, lower crude oil prices, and flat interest rates. U.S. June manufacturing orders released yesterday showed a 0.9% increase in durable goods and a 0.7% increase in non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, marking the second consecutive month of growth and indicating strong demand.WTI crude oil fell sharply, briefly dipping below the key $70 level to $69.2, but is currently trading around $70.3.
With the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note falling below 1.2% and trading sideways in the 1.17% range, the U.S. dollar continues to face resistance on the upside, while the GBP/USD pair has risen slightly and is currently trading around 1.392.The AUD/USD pair is also forming an upward-sloping flag on the 4-hour chart and is currently trading around 0.739.
Today’s economic indicators include the UK Services PMI (final reading) at 17:30, Eurozone retail sales at 18:00, the U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Index at 20:00, U.S. ADP National Employment Report at 21:15, Canadian housing permits at 21:30,22:00: Remarks by U.S. St. Louis Fed President Bullard; 22:45: U.S. Services PMI (final reading);U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Clarida at 11:00 p.m., and U.S. weekly crude oil inventories at 11:30 p.m. are scheduled for release. We will be watching closely to see if any trends emerge in currency strength and weakness midway through the week.
