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Caution Over Further Declines in the U.S. Dollar?

Market Report

Caution Over Further Declines in the U.S. Dollar?

Today's Highlights
  1. UK Services PMI (Final Reading)
  2. Retail Sales in Europe

In yesterday’s stock market, major U.S. indices rose, leading to a trading session characterized by higher stock prices, lower crude oil prices, and flat interest rates. U.S. June manufacturing orders released yesterday showed a 0.9% increase in durable goods and a 0.7% increase in non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, marking the second consecutive month of growth and indicating strong demand.WTI crude oil fell sharply, briefly dipping below the key $70 level to $69.2, but is currently trading around $70.3.

With the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note falling below 1.2% and trading sideways in the 1.17% range, the U.S. dollar continues to face resistance on the upside, while the GBP/USD pair has risen slightly and is currently trading around 1.392.The AUD/USD pair is also forming an upward-sloping flag on the 4-hour chart and is currently trading around 0.739.

Today’s economic indicators include the UK Services PMI (final reading) at 17:30, Eurozone retail sales at 18:00, the U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Index at 20:00, U.S. ADP National Employment Report at 21:15, Canadian housing permits at 21:30,22:00: Remarks by U.S. St. Louis Fed President Bullard; 22:45: U.S. Services PMI (final reading);U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Clarida at 11:00 p.m., and U.S. weekly crude oil inventories at 11:30 p.m. are scheduled for release. We will be watching closely to see if any trends emerge in currency strength and weakness midway through the week.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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