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Caution Over ECB President Lagarde's Remarks?

Market Report

Caution Over ECB President Lagarde's Remarks?

Today's Highlights
  1. Europe: ECB Policy Rate and Statement Release
  2. Chicago Fed National Activity Index

Yesterday, the three major U.S. stock indices all extended their gains, offsetting the losses seen at the start of the week. Cyclical stocks, such as cruise line stocks, drove the market higher.The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at $34,798, up 0.83% from the previous day. The Semiconductor Index (SOX) also rose 3.06% to 3,288, while gold prices remained in a tug-of-war around the $1,800 mark.

In the foreign exchange market, the euro is trading in a narrow range ahead of today’s scheduled ECB policy rate announcement and statement.The EUR/USD pair appears to have paused its decline as of yesterday, and on the 4-hour chart, the 20-period moving average (MA) is beginning to act as support. However, depending on the stance President Lagarde takes regarding the inflation target during today’s press conference, prices could see significant volatility, so it would be wise to adjust any open positions.

Today’s schedule includes remarks by Bank of England Deputy Governor Broadbent at 17:30 European time; the ECB’s policy rate decision and statement at 20:45; U.S. initial jobless claims and a press conference by ECB President Lagarde at 21:30 U.S. time;the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, at 23:00 the U.S. Leading Economic Index and U.S. existing home sales, at 23:30 the U.S. weekly natural gas inventories, and at 24:00 the U.S. Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index.We should remain vigilant to see if today’s ECB policy rate announcement triggers any clear movements in European currencies.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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