Should We Keep an Eye on Price Movements at the Start of the Second Half of the Month?
19.07.2021
- Turkey Consumer Confidence Index
- Remarks by Haskell, a Member of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee
Last weekend, stock markets in both Europe and the U.S. declined. The UK’s FTSE, where daily COVID-19 cases have exceeded 50,000, closed at 7,008, down 0.06% from the previous day. Although the number of cases in the UK is on the rise again, the lockdown is expected to be lifted as scheduled today.WTI crude oil continued to fall, trading around $70 per barrel. OPEC+ agreed to scale back production cuts starting in August, and prices declined on expectations of stable supply.
The foreign exchange market opened without any significant gaps, and trading during today’s Asian session has been generally range-bound. In particular, the EUR/USD pair is trading with very little direction around the 1.180 level, and on the hourly chart, upside momentum appears to be slightly capped. However, since the pair remains above the 200-day moving average on the weekly chart, this is a phase where we need to carefully assess whether a downtrend is likely to develop.
Today’s economic indicators include the Turkish Consumer Confidence Index at 4:00 p.m., remarks by UK MPC member Haskell at 7:00 p.m., and the U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index at 11:00 p.m. Aside from these, no major speeches by key figures or economic indicator releases are scheduled.With the ECB’s policy rate announcement on Thursday, the 22nd, and the release of European manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI flash estimates coming up this week, we’ll be watching to see if European currencies show any clear direction.
