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Market Participants Remain Cautious Amid Minor Price Movements Ahead of Next Week’s U.S. FOMC Meeting

Market Report

Market Participants Remain Cautious Amid Minor Price Movements Ahead of Next Week’s U.S. FOMC Meeting

Today's Highlights
  1. UK Industrial Production
  2. Remarks by Bank of England Governor Bailey

Yesterday, stock prices rebounded on the U.S. market, leading to a scenario of rising stock prices, a weaker U.S. dollar, and lower interest rates.The U.S. Consumer Price Index released yesterday exceeded expectations, marking the highest rate of increase since August 2008 and reaffirming the resumption of economic activity. Additionally, the number of new U.S. unemployment insurance claims—released weekly—fell for the sixth consecutive week.

With yields on long-term U.S. Treasuries declining, the U.S. dollar is facing resistance on the upside. The USD/JPY pair has failed to hold above the key 110.00 level and is currently trading around 109.4. Meanwhile, cross-yen pairs are trending lower, though GBP/JPY is holding up relatively well.GBP/JPY is currently trading around 155.1, with the daily 20-day moving average (MA) appearing to act as support. GBP/USD has also reached the upper end of its trading range and is currently trading around 1.418.

Today, at 15:00 during Asian trading hours, UK GDP, UK industrial production, UK manufacturing output, and the UK trade balance will be released; during European trading hours, at 16:00, Turkish industrial production will be released, and at 17:30, the UKremarks by BOE Governor Bailey, remarks by BOE Deputy Governor Kanlif, and remarks by BOE Deputy Governor Ramsden; and during U.S. trading hours at 21:30, Canada’s Q1 Capacity Utilization Rate, and at 23:00, the U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Preliminary).As traders await the U.S. FOMC meeting scheduled for the start of the week, price movements may remain modest, so it is important to carefully assess the market’s direction.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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