All Eyes on U.S. Employment Data?
07.05.2021
- U.S. Employment Report
- U.S. - Birkin: Remarks by the President of the Richmond Federal Reserve Bank
Yesterday, the U.S. stock market continued to rise, albeit slightly, with the S&P 500 closing at 4,201 points, up 0.82% from the previous day.With stocks rising, the dollar weakening, and interest rates falling, crude oil edged lower, while gold rose by about 350 pips to the $1,822 range.
In the foreign exchange market, the yen is trading slightly weaker, and cross-yen pairs are trending higher. Following yesterday’s announcement of the policy interest rate—which was kept at 0.1%—the GBP/JPY pair fell briefly immediately after the announcement but is attempting to rebound again during today’s Asian trading session. GBP/JPY is currently trading around 151.7.
Today’s schedule includes German industrial production and trade balance at 15:00 European time, French industrial production and the French manufacturing production index at 15:45, the UK construction PMI at 17:30, remarks by ECB President Lagarde at 19:00, and at 20:15, the UKremarks by BOE Deputy Governor Broadbent, and during U.S. trading hours at 21:30, U.S. and Canadian employment reports; at 22:00, remarks by U.S. Richmond Fed President Barkin; and at 23:00, the Canadian Ivey Purchasing Managers’ Index.For today’s U.S. employment report, the forecast for nonfarm payrolls stands at 1 million, and a strong figure is expected. We will continue to monitor the situation closely to see how the U.S. dollar reacts to the results.
