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Should We Keep an Eye on ECB Policy Rate Trends?

Market Report

Should We Keep an Eye on ECB Policy Rate Movements?

Today's Highlights
  1. U.S. Existing-Home Sales
  2. ECB Policy Rate and Statement Release

Yesterday, U.S. stock markets rebounded, resulting in a “risk-on” market characterized by rising stock prices, a flat U.S. dollar, and falling interest rates. In particular, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fully recouped the previous day’s losses and, as it is trading above the 10-day moving average on the daily chart, the uptrend is continuing from a technical perspective.The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note is trading around 1.53%.

As of yesterday, Oceania currencies were gaining slightly in the foreign exchange market, with the AUD/USD pair attempting to rise around 0.775. The EUR/AUD pair is in a stalemate, trading sideways around 1.552.The AUD/JPY pair is trading within a range of 83.2 to 84.7 and is currently attempting to rise near 83.7.

Today’s schedule includes the Turkish Consumer Price Index at 16:00, the UK CBI Business Survey at 19:00, the ECB policy rate announcement at 20:45, ECB President Lagarde’s press conference at 21:30, and at 21:30, the U.S.Initial Jobless Claims and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, at 11:00 PM the U.S. Leading Economic Index and Existing Home Sales, at 11:30 PM U.S. Weekly Natural Gas Inventories, and at 12:00 AM the Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index.We will carefully assess how today’s economic data releases affect the balance of power among currencies.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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