All Eyes on the Direction of the Pound-Dollar Exchange Rate After a See-Saw Ride Following the U.S. CPI Release
11.05.2023
- Remarks by Bank of England Governor Bailey
- UK: BOE Policy Rate and Statement Announcement
In the U.S. currency market the previous day, the U.S. dollar saw a seesaw trade against the pound following the release of the U.S. April Consumer Price Index, which showed the core index rising 5.5% year-over-year.GBP/USD surged sharply by about 70 pips from 1.2604 to 1.2679, only to immediately give up all of those gains.During today’s Asian session, the pair is trading around 1.2602, fluctuating above and below the 20-period moving average on the hourly chart. On the weekly chart, GBP/USD has some breathing room up to the 200-period SMA, so it will be worth watching to see if it rebounds again.
Among European currencies, the euro continued to fall against the yen. The euro/yen pair dropped by approximately 160 pips, from 148.669 to 147.041.The 20-period moving average (MA) on the 4-hour chart acted as a resistance level. Technically speaking, the EUR/JPY has already broken below the 20-period MA on the daily chart, and the daily RSI has pulled back after touching 70. Therefore, we will be closely monitoring the direction of the euro against the yen during European trading hours to see if it continues to weaken.
Today, at 16:00, Turkey’s current account balance will be released; at 20:00, the Bank of England (BOE) will announce its policy rate and statement, along with the BOE’s Quarterly Monetary Policy Report, and South Africa’s manufacturing output;at 8:30 p.m., remarks by Bank of England Governor Bailey; at 9:30 p.m., U.S. initial jobless claims and the U.S. Producer Price Index; at 9:45 p.m., remarks by Kashkari,Remarks by Kashkari, President of the Minneapolis Fed; at 23:30, U.S. weekly natural gas inventories and remarks by Fed Governor Waller; and at 26:00, a U.S. 30-year Treasury auction. We will be closely monitoring the direction of the GBP/USD pair, which has been fluctuating following the U.S. CPI release.
